Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.024339 0.026185 0.028112 0.030274 0.032637 0.035143 0.038006
2024-12-29 0.021165 0.023768 0.026626 0.030005 0.033906 0.038282 0.043584
2025-01-05 0.018980 0.022006 0.025456 0.029702 0.034815 0.040808 0.048416
2025-01-12 0.017154 0.020395 0.024204 0.029042 0.035072 0.042399 0.052071
2025-01-19 0.016157 0.019639 0.023840 0.029330 0.036387 0.045247 0.057368
2025-01-26 0.015185 0.018811 0.023287 0.029284 0.037203 0.047439 0.061897
2025-02-02 0.014527 0.018313 0.023087 0.029632 0.038497 0.050276 0.067431
2025-02-09 0.013701 0.017535 0.022460 0.029347 0.038888 0.051877 0.071320
2025-02-16 0.013030 0.016912 0.021985 0.029214 0.039444 0.053697 0.075600
2025-02-23 0.012393 0.016293 0.021471 0.028980 0.039815 0.055242 0.079545
2025-03-02 0.011892 0.015828 0.021134 0.028958 0.040465 0.057202 0.084217
2025-03-09 0.011314 0.015227 0.020570 0.028571 0.040542 0.058292 0.087589
2025-03-16 0.010714 0.014569 0.019903 0.028004 0.040327 0.058939 0.090331
2025-03-23 0.010253 0.014087 0.019461 0.027740 0.040547 0.060257 0.094246
2025-03-30 0.009821 0.013627 0.019026 0.027459 0.040714 0.061484 0.098076
2025-04-06 0.009330 0.013059 0.018404 0.026857 0.040332 0.061794 0.100341
2025-04-13 0.009111 0.012879 0.018348 0.027119 0.041333 0.064402 0.106785
2025-04-20 0.008826 0.012587 0.018109 0.027077 0.041830 0.066191 0.111889
2025-04-27 0.008650 0.012452 0.018099 0.027394 0.042928 0.069054 0.119167
2025-05-04 0.008342 0.012104 0.017744 0.027135 0.043040 0.070209 0.123326
2025-05-11 0.008086 0.011824 0.017483 0.027014 0.043375 0.071767 0.128363
2025-05-18 0.007822 0.011522 0.017177 0.026800 0.043532 0.073008 0.132864
2025-05-25 0.007617 0.011304 0.016992 0.026780 0.044024 0.074876 0.138754